Fanning the Flame

The Mayans have been beaten by Thailand in their countdown to Armageddon. While the Mayans predicted that the end of the world will happen in the year 2012, the current Thai Government, Bangkok opinion makers, the Thai news agencies, the military, the police and countless others are all predicting that the end of the world as we know it will come on February 26th, 2010, upon the reading of the Thaksin Shinawatra verdict for the seizure of his asset.

With a constant barrage of statements by the government and anti Thaksin group about how all Thias must be prepared for riots on the streets by Thaksin supporters on the 26th, one would think that the government already knows what the verdict will be, and obviously with all of their doom and gloom scenarios, the verdict will not favor Thaksin.

But how can that be, when our Oxford educated Prime Minister has declared that no one has or can tamper with the courts decision regarding this case, and that no pressure has been put upon the courts to return a guilty verdict against Thanksin by the Government, the military or any branch of the old power clique.

So then is he just in the hoping for the best but preparing for the worse mode? But then why is most of the scary commentary about what is going to happen to Thailand on the February 26th mostly coming from the Government. The Reds and their leaders have made it clear that they will not orchestrate any violence regardless of the outcome of the verdict, and truth be told even if they wanted too they would not have the power nor the capabilities to do so, for unlike the Yellows before them the Reds do not have the luxury of being supported by the military or the powers that be in their actions. I mean c'mon does one really thing that the Reds could pull off an airport seizure like the Yellows without the army coming in and cracking heads.

So why all the bad news and negativity about what will happen on February 26th. Well simply by instilling in the minds of Bangkokians that the Reds will pillage Bangkok, it continues the government psychological war against anyone who may question the neutrality of the verdict, and keep our minds of the fact that the guilty verdict is a faith accompli. For the Reds are so evil, even though they may have never taken over an airport, nor government house, they have no right to disagree what so ever with what will happen on the 26th, for any of their disagreements will surely lead to Armageddon.

So what is my prediction for what will happen on February 26th 2010. Nothing!! Sure what ever way the verdict comes out, a side will be disappointed, and the loosing side will protest and hold rallies, but riots, blood shed on the streets, NO WAY!!! A Coup, even unlikelier.

My recommendation is for the Government to stop with all the talk about the possible violence, by talking about it and mobilizing the troops to keep the peace is only feeding the flames. As for the Reds, nothing you can do will change the verdict. But by being peaceful and respectful to the people, you may have a chance in the future to change the biggest verdict of all, and that is the verdict of the general Thai people towards your ultimate caused and that is to bring back Khun Thaksin to Thailand. Do the unexpected, stop the rallies, let the verdict be read, lose this battle but then go on and try to win your war. Shut down crazy members of your caused like Arisaman, and Sae Dang, and look classy in defeat.

The fight between Thanksin and the Government will not end on February 26th 2010, it will end when both sides realize that mutual assured destruction did not work during the cold war and it will not work for this war before the haves and the haves. So let us all stop fanning the flames of fear, and get on with our lives and let the day of the verdict be only important, to those who are fighting a war that neither side will win.